PawnXIIX

07-02-2012, 06:34 PM

*WARNING* - Entering no moaning zone.

I wrote a program to simulate the time it would take to open boxes using what I thought were the correct opening chances for each of the boxes:

Free - 1/3

Cash - 1/2

Gold - 1/1

The way I would have personally done the events would be if the box was an open, award a random prize from 1 - 7. One prize is the event item, the other 6 are the other miscellaneous awards.

Here is what was found over 1 trial:

Free open:

Attempts Made: 252

Boxes opened: 80

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 176

Boxes opened: 48

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 67

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 66

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 162

Boxes opened: 51

Gold used: 0

Averaging out to 196 openings which requires 8.1666 days on average to complete. Sorry free players...should have just spend the in game money.

Cash open:

Attempts Made: 197

Boxes opened: 93

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 124

Boxes opened: 63

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 86

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 144

Boxes opened: 78

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 185

Boxes opened: 92

Gold used: 0

Giving an average of 169 opening required to complete the 10th item. That would cost a person 7.04 days. Quite a shocking thought when you look at it.

Gold opens:

Attempts Made: 43

Boxes opened: 43

Gold used: 645

Attempts Made: 73

Boxes opened: 73

Gold used: 1095

Attempts Made: 77

Boxes opened: 77

Gold used: 1155

Attempts Made: 65

Boxes opened: 65

Gold used: 975

Attempts Made: 70

Boxes opened: 70

Gold used: 1050

Averaging out to just over 65 opening to receive the 10th item. Average gold spent it in the realm of 984, and the total time to complete said task would be 2.75 days.

This is a completely random program, and it was not the exact model of how Funzio did the rewards of prizes but this is how I would have made such an event. Cash opening would have taken 7 days on average even with perfect openings.

This is not a moaning or complaining thread. This is a statistical look at how each of the options plays out in a perfect world.

Anyone want to discuss? anyone...?

I wrote a program to simulate the time it would take to open boxes using what I thought were the correct opening chances for each of the boxes:

Free - 1/3

Cash - 1/2

Gold - 1/1

The way I would have personally done the events would be if the box was an open, award a random prize from 1 - 7. One prize is the event item, the other 6 are the other miscellaneous awards.

Here is what was found over 1 trial:

Free open:

Attempts Made: 252

Boxes opened: 80

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 176

Boxes opened: 48

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 67

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 66

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 162

Boxes opened: 51

Gold used: 0

Averaging out to 196 openings which requires 8.1666 days on average to complete. Sorry free players...should have just spend the in game money.

Cash open:

Attempts Made: 197

Boxes opened: 93

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 124

Boxes opened: 63

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 195

Boxes opened: 86

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 144

Boxes opened: 78

Gold used: 0

Attempts Made: 185

Boxes opened: 92

Gold used: 0

Giving an average of 169 opening required to complete the 10th item. That would cost a person 7.04 days. Quite a shocking thought when you look at it.

Gold opens:

Attempts Made: 43

Boxes opened: 43

Gold used: 645

Attempts Made: 73

Boxes opened: 73

Gold used: 1095

Attempts Made: 77

Boxes opened: 77

Gold used: 1155

Attempts Made: 65

Boxes opened: 65

Gold used: 975

Attempts Made: 70

Boxes opened: 70

Gold used: 1050

Averaging out to just over 65 opening to receive the 10th item. Average gold spent it in the realm of 984, and the total time to complete said task would be 2.75 days.

This is a completely random program, and it was not the exact model of how Funzio did the rewards of prizes but this is how I would have made such an event. Cash opening would have taken 7 days on average even with perfect openings.

This is not a moaning or complaining thread. This is a statistical look at how each of the options plays out in a perfect world.

Anyone want to discuss? anyone...?